Football Outsiders’ S&P+ rankings really like Michigan. The Wolverines are No. 1 in the country, and their defense is tops in the nation by a wide margin.
When you break it down by game, the numbers get even more ridiculous. Michigan has at least a 92-percent chance to win in each of its next five games, and has a 61-percent chance to beat Ohio State in Columbus, according to Football Outsiders.
Michigan's Updated Win Probabilities via S&P+:
at MSU: 97%
at Iowa: 92%
at OSU: 61%
— Drew Hallett (@DrewCHallett) October 17, 2016
Ohio State’s win probability in its remaining games is 73 percent at Penn State, 95 percent vs. Northwestern, 82 percent at Nebraska, 90 percent at Maryland, 94 percent at Michigan State and 39 percent vs. Michigan. Alabama has just two games with an 80-percent win probability or greater left on its schedule.
The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has updated point spreads on some of Michigan’s remaining games and lists the Wolverines as an 11-point favorite at Iowa, an 18.5-point favorite at Michigan State and a 7-point underdog at Ohio State.
Barring something unforeseen, Michigan should enter The Game on Nov. 26 unbeaten.