Michigan has the chance to get to the title game in the 2018 NCAA Tournament without facing a team ranked higher than a No. 6 seed. If the Wolverines do get past 11th-seeded Loyola-Chicago and into the title game, however, they will face a 1 seed — either Villanova or Kansas.
So what are Michigan’s chances of being the last team left standing in the 2018 NCAA Tournament? They’re about one-in-four, according to analytic website FiveThirtyEight. Michigan’s championship percentage is the second-best among the Final Four teams, behind only Villanova’s 46 percent.
Here is the full breakdown of FiveThirtyEight’s probabilities for the Final Four teams to win the 2018 national championship and the chances teams have to win their games on Saturday.
Chances to beat Loyola-Chicago: 69 percent
Chances to win the national championship: 25 percent
Chances to beat Michigan: 31 percent
Chances to win the national championship: 7 percent
Chances to beat Kansas: 64 percent
Chances to win the national championship: 46 percent
Chances to beat Villanova: 36 percent
Chances to win the national championship: 23 percent