ESPN: Michigan would only have 0.2 percent chance at National Title if it played Alabama’s schedule
Michigan plays in one of the toughest divisions in college football, the Big Ten East.
The No. 7 Wolverines have dates with No. 12 Michigan State, No. 17 Iowa and No. 6 Ohio State this season – all of which come on the road. Still, ESPN and its Football Power Index (FPI) rated Michigan’s schedule only the 65th-toughest this season.
ESPN currently projects Jim Harbaugh’s team to win 10 games and gives the Wolverines a nine percent shot to win the National Championship.
However, ESPN’s stats and info department crunched the numbers on how Michigan might fare if the team had to play Alabama’s daunting schedule. The No. 1 Crimson Tide have the fourth-best strength of schedule according to the FPI and they face USC, Ole Miss, Tennessee, LSU and Auburn this season.
The computers weren’t as kind to the Wolverines when they imagined how Michigan would do with Alabama’s 2016 slate. They projected 7.8 wins for the maize and blue and gave the team just a 0.2 percent chance of winning a national title.
What if Michigan played Alabama's schedule this season? We ran the numbers… pic.twitter.com/jvUVc6EgSG
— Sharon Katz (@skatz23) August 22, 2016
Luckily for Michigan, that scenario won’t happen and the national championship will be decided by what happens on the field.