Matthew Holst/Getty Images
Who will be the next recruit to commit to Iowa and have the chance to play in Kinnick Stadium?

Iowa recruiting mailbag: Predicting next football commitment

Have Iowa football recruiting questions? We’ve got answers. Join us every Wednesday for the Land of 10 Iowa recruiting mailbag to discuss Hawkeyes recruiting. This week, we’ll discuss who the next Iowa commit will be and if the Hawkeyes will land 4-star running back Jirehl Brock.

Who do you predict is the next commit?

— @Jeberhardt37

Reading the tea leaves in recruiting can be as hard as trying to predict the lotto jackpot numbers. Few expected Solon High School (Iowa) linebacker Coal Flansburg to commit when he did to Iowa State on Tuesday.

Spring is a time when recruits start committing in large numbers. The problem for Iowa is there isn’t an obvious player on the verge of a commitment after Jack Campbell did March 31.

The closest Iowa targets to a decision appear to be quarterbacks Max Duggan, a 4-star prospect, and Sam Johnson III, a 3-star prospect. Each is expected to pick a program this spring. Iowa doesn’t appear to be the favorite for either.

A slew of Iowa’s other top targets aren’t ready to make a decision. Four-star running back Jirehl Brock and 4-star wide receiver David Bell aren’t close to a decision. Four-star linebacker Nick Henrich plans to commit during the summer. Three-star defensive end Mosai Newsom is waiting until the fall and 3-star linebacker Cameron Baker said he’s waiting until his senior year.

Three-star wide receiver Desmond Hutson and defensive back Sebastian Castro are interesting options. Each wants to make a decision by the summer. Castro took in a spring practice in March and Huston is expected to visit for the spring game on April 20.

Iowa is sitting in good position with each player. I’ll go out on a limb and pick Hutson as the next commitment because he has indicated he may make a decision in the spring.

Are Iowa State’s three commitments a sign Matt Campbell is gaining a foothold in the state?

— Enginerd2004

Iowa State’s three in-state commitments are wide receiver Darien Porter. Jake Remsburg and Flansburg. Each is a 3-star prospect.

Porter and Remsburg committed early to the Cyclones and didn’t hold an Iowa offer. It’s hard to read too much into those commitments.

Iowa showed interest and Flansburg attended a junior day. He looked like the type of in-state prospect the Hawkeyes would offer if their top linebacker targets, like Henrich, went somewhere else.

Iowa State closing the deal on Flansburg in the spring is a good sign for Campbell. He’s known as a top-notch recruiter and has quickly rebuilt Iowa State.

Iowa still holds the in-state recruiting edge because it keeps landing the top-end Iowa talent.

Iowa State needs to land a 4-star recruit such as 2018 defensive end John Waggoner or 2019 4-star tackle Tyler Endres to change the conversation on in-state recruiting.

Class of 2020 4-star in-state running back Gavin Williams is a name to watch. Both teams have offered and it could be a closer battle than any 2018 or 2019 in-state prospect.

Any hints at any potential football grad transfers or does that come much quieter than basketball?

— Joe Williams

Outside of men’s basketball player Ahmed Wagner there isn’t much news on the transfer front.

My experience with graduate transfers, and transfers in general, is it all depends on the recruit. Some treat it like a second recruitment, tweeting out upcoming visits and discussing the process openly. Others play it closer to the vest and don’t announce anything until they’ve found a new home.

The Hawkeyes are more than willing to recruit players under the radar. Class of 2018 signee Kaevon Merriweather is the latest example.

Iowa fans didn’t know who Merriweather was until he committed.

It wouldn’t surprise me if the same thing were to happen with any graduate transfer.

What percentage would you put Iowa at to land Jirehl Brock?

— Bryant Harms

Iowa is in good position with Brock. The Hawkeyes were the first program to offer the Illinois running back. This recruitment is looking like a two-team battle with the Hawkeyes and Cyclones.

Other regional programs such as Illinois, Missouri and Minnesota are in on Brock’s recruitment, as well.

I would give Iowa 40 percent odds of landing him. I would give Iowa State the same and the rest goes to a surprise commitment to one of the other teams recruiting him.

Have a question about Iowa recruiting? Tweet us @Landof10Iowa and we’ll try to answer it in a future mailbag. Check to see if your issue already was addressed by reading previous Iowa recruiting mailbags here.