Iowa recruiting mailbag: Iowa’s odds to land Max Duggan, other key prospects
Have Iowa football recruiting questions? We’ve got answers. Join us every Wednesday for the Land of 10 Iowa recruiting mailbag to discuss Hawkeyes recruiting. This week, we’ll discuss the odds of Iowa landing key recruiting targets.
Realistic percent Iowa lands Max Duggan from Council Bluffs?
The Max Duggan sweepstakes took an interesting turn on Monday. Ohio State jumped in with an offer for the 2019 recruit.
— Max Duggan (@MaxDuggan_10) December 11, 2017
The offer from the Buckeyes is further proof that the recruitment of Duggan is entering a different stratosphere. It was already headed that way, with Duggan holding offers from Penn State and Georgia.
Ohio State entering the mix indicates more blue-blood programs may enter the fray here. Going head to head with the likes of the Buckeyes and Nittany Lions isn’t something Iowa prefers. A regional recruit such as Duggan (Nebraska, Iowa State and Minnesota are also in play) becoming a national prospect usually doesn’t bode well for the local teams.
This is the second straight recruiting cycle in which Iowa has had to battle the blue bloods for the top in-state prospect. Oliver Martin picked Michigan in the Class of 2017. John Waggoner just committed to Iowa over a who’s who of offers in the Class of 2018. Now it’s Duggan, who is a 4-star prospect.
The good news is that Iowa offered Duggan first. That matters more in recruiting than ever before. The Hawkeyes seemed to be sitting in a nice spot at the end of November, but the competition is fierce. Ohio State or Georgia speak for themselves. Nebraska just hired Scott Frost and his quarterback-friendly system. Minnesota and Iowa State are known for their recruiting ability in the Midwest.
It’s not going to be easy for Iowa to secure a commitment, but it’s not impossible. I would put the odds at 20 percent and wouldn’t put any team’s chances higher than 30 percent to land him following the Ohio State news.
Odds on Craddieth?
This one is a little easier to figure than the Duggan sweepstakes. Iowa and Illinois appear to be the favorites. Safety Dallas Craddieth, a 3-star prospect, took his Iowa official visit last weekend and is heading to Illinois for an official visit this weekend. Those programs have recruited him for a long time.
He will visit Indiana on Jan. 19 and Nebraska is in line for a potential visit, too. The Cornhuskers are worth watching here. New coaching staffs can quickly build recruiting momentum and sway recruits. It’s possible something like that develops with Nebraska, not just with Craddieth but other uncommitted prospects as well.
Let’s put the odds of Iowa landing him at 40 percent. Illinois holds similar odds with the rest going into a surprise selection of any other program.
Honas gonna be a Hawk?
— David Crouse
Of the three players discussed in this column, the Hawkeyes probably are in the best position to land Butler Community College (Kan.) linebacker Will Honas. Junior college prospects care more about depth charts and playing time than high school recruits. With all three starting linebackers departing after the Pinstripe Bowl, Iowa can offer Honas a shot at starting right away.
Iowa appears to be the front-runner for Honas. Matthew Bain of the Des Moines Register reported as much in late November.
I’d put the odds of Honas, a 3-star prospect, signing with the Hawkeyes at 70 percent. Kansas State, Pittsburgh and Mississippi are still in the mix.
Who is the QB of the class going to be?
— Shawn Kofoed
This is the most pressing question for Iowa and the Class of 2018. There is no obvious answer, especially if Spencer Petras holds tight to his Oregon State commitment. He visited Iowa on Sunday and Monday and told Kerry Eggers of the Portland Tribune that he’s signing with the Beavers. But he told Rob Howe of HawkeyeNation.com that his mind isn’t made up just yet.
So which is it? Odds are Iowa is a major underdog to land Petras. It would be a surprise if he picked the Hawkeyes.
If Petras stays with Oregon State, Iowa will need to go to the drawing board yet again at quarterback. Everyone else Iowa has recruited is seemingly off the board.
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