When the new polls get released Monday, the Big Ten could have four teams in the Top 10: Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nebraska.
But which team has the best chance to remain undefeated or win the conference championship? ESPN’s Football Power Index has the numbers.
Michigan has the fourth-best odds in the nation to win out, following Louisville, Western Michigan and Clemson. The Wolverines have a 34.4-percent chance to win the rest of their regular-season games.
Here are the leading Big Ten teams’ chances of winning out, according to the FPI:
- Michigan (nation’s 4th-best chance to win out): 34.4 percent
- Ohio State (9th): 17.5
- Penn State (27th): 3.5
- Wisconsin (39th): 1.3
- Indiana (tie for 67th): 0.1
- Nebraska (tie for 67th): 0.1
And here’s what FPI thinks of each team’s chance to win the Big Ten title:
- Michigan: 49.9 percent
- Ohio State: 35.8
- Wisconsin: 7.4
- Nebraska: 5.8
- Iowa: 0.9
- Penn State: 0.2
- Northwestern: 0.1
The number that may stand out the most is Penn State’s 3.5 percent with the league’s third-best odds to win out. That’s probably because after the Ohio State game on Oct. 22, the Nittany Lions are strong favorites in their remaining games. Meanwhile, unbeaten Nebraska and likely top-10 Wisconsin have a tougher slate, including the Huskers-Badgers showdown on Oct. 29. Wisconsin also plays Ohio State this upcoming Saturday. Nebraska faces Ohio State on Nov. 5 in Columbus, Ohio.
So, according to these numbers, the Big Ten favorite isn’t Ohio State. It’s up in Ann Arbor, Mich. But the two teams still combine to for an 85.7 percent chance to win the Big Ten.